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On Friday, 12 Oct 2001 at 08:48:41 I received a note from
William Braud proposing
a prediction for an event involving a coordinated activity for children.
He said that at 2:00 p.m. CDT, Oct. 12,
there may be a great coherence of attention as thousands of school
children (elementary and secondary) across the U.S.A. simultaneously
recite the "Pledge of Allegiance." This could be a good time to look
for coherent activity in the random generator "EGGs."
I was traveling, but asked William for the needed information to
make a formal prediction about
the event.
His suggestion included "five minutes in front of
the event, since one would think the students would be preparing
and thinking a lot about it just before it began. What about 1:55
p.m., CDT through 2:15 p.m.., CDT?"
We agreed on this time period, which corresponds to
18:55 to 19:15, GMT, and specified
seconds resolution for the analysis, with a medium confidence rating.
The result is a positive but non-significant trend, with Chisquare
1225.8 on 1200 degrees of freedom, and a probability of 0.296.
The following figure shows the 20-minute period.
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